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Table 3 Expected changes of climatic conditions by 2050 and estimated area loss of zonal beech (Δbeech) and sessile oak (Δsessile oak) forest stands in Hungary

From: Present and forecasted xeric climatic limits of beech and sessile oak distribution at low altitudes in Central Europe

 

HADCM3 A2

HADCM3 A1B

HADCM3 B1

CNCM3 A2

CSMK3 A2

GFCM21 A2

ΔTs

+2.9

+3.3

+2.6

+2.4

+1.8

+2.1

ΔTw

+2.3

+2.6

+2.3

+2.1

+1.5

+1.6

ΔPs

−13.4%

−10.9%

−12.4%

−9.6%

+0.4%

−11.4%

ΔPw

+7.0%

+9.4%

+3.5%

−0.8%

−3.3%

+6.2%

Δbeech

97–99%

94–99%

97–99%

97–99%

56–96%

92–99%

Δsessile oak

96–100%

97–100%

90–100%

95–100%

82–96%

85–100%

  1. Projected changes in summer/winter half year temperature (ΔTs/ΔTw, °C) and precipitation (ΔPs/ΔPw, percents) are shown for Hungary for six IPCC AR4 climatic scenarios (Solomon et al. 2007) for the period 2035–2065