Table 4 Parameter estimates with their standard error in parenthesis of the models (3) to (8) for both datasets
Dataset | Parameter | Eq. (3) | Eq. (4) | Eq. (5) | Eq. (6) | Eq. (7) | Eq. (8) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LME | LME | LME | LME | LME | NLME | ||
1 (1970s) | β 0 | 6.2946 (0.2051) | 3.2089 (0.1734) | −0.4314 (0.03) |  | 5.0932 (0.2224) | −4.6534 (0.0251) |
β 1 | 0.0371 (1.54E−04) | 0.0105 (2.02E−04) | −7.87E−04 (1.98E−05) | 0.0707 (6.21E−04) | 0.052 (0.001) | 0.9896 (0.0062) | |
β 2 |  | 0.0342 (1.55E−04) | 0.6017 (0.0054) | −0.0447 (4.76E−04) | −5.00E−05 (3.35E−06) | 7.1147 (0.047) | |
β 3 |  |  | 0.1566 (9.38E−04) | 0.0889 (6.88E−04) | 4.69E−08 (3.22E-09) | 1.867 (0.0144) | |
β 4 |  |  |  | −6.03E−04 (1.72E−05) |  | 0.0119 (1.27E−04) | |
β 5 |  |  |  |  |  | 0.004 (1.99E−04) | |
β 6 |  |  |  |  |  | 0.313 (0.0102) | |
δ | 0.5612 | 0.6193 | −0.1385 | 0.5981 | 0.5616 | −0.1679 | |
CAR1 | 0.9189 | 0.9046 | 0.848 | 0.9101 | 0.9173 | 0.8538 | |
σ | 0.1048 | 0.0704 | 0.2144 | 0.075 | 0.1036 | 0.2681 | |
2 (2014–2016) | β 0 | 5.2856 (0.4166) | −0.4969 (0.5058) | −0.7606 (0.1266) |  | 7.3826 (0.5450) | −4.8984 (0.1814) |
β 1 | 0.0345 (5.498E−04) | 0.0140 (0.0011) | −6.380E−04 (1.002E−04) | 0.0747 (0.0029) | 0.0116 (0.0044) | 1.3541 (0.0398) | |
β 2 |  | 0.0339 (5.452E−04) | 0.6323 (2.668E−02) | −0.0595 (0.0019) | 6.246E−05 (1.419E−05) | 5.8692 (0.1561) | |
β 3 |  |  | 0.2028 (0.0052) | 0.1015 (0.0028) | −4.035E−08 (1.354E−08) | 2.2051 (0.0904) | |
β 4 |  |  |  | −7.480E−04 (8.818E−05) |  | 0.0125 (6.841E−04) | |
β 5 |  |  |  |  |  | 0.0056 (0.0015) | |
β 6 |  |  |  |  |  | −0.0855 (0.1123) | |
δ | 0.6855 | 0.7144 | −0.2041 | 0.6222 | 0.6489 | −0.2032 | |
CAR1 | 0.8937 | 0.8909 | 0.799 | 0.8493 | 0.902 | 0.7973 | |
σ | 0.0552 | 0.0464 | 0.4019 | 0.0626 | 0.0701 | 0.4074 |