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Table 5 Pre-European settlement (protohistoric) and present-day percentages and temporal change of pollen and tree surveys for the major tree genera in forest types south of the tension zone line. Number of sites for pollen and survey trees, respectively, is in parentheses. Forest type abbreviations are found in Table 1

From: Global change impacts on forest and fire dynamics using paleoecology and tree census data for eastern North America

  

Fossil pollen (%)

Trees surveys (%)

Forest type (no. of sites)

Species

Protohistoric

Present

Absolute change

Protohistoric

Present

Absolute change

Cent_OP (7; 33)

Acer

0.61

5.47

4.86

3.50

10.47

6.97***

Betula

1.57

1.91

0.34

0.66

1.19

0.53

Carya

5.95

5.52

− 0.43

6.53

8.16

1.63

Castanea

2.63

1.68

− 0.96

2.90

0.15

− 2.75***

Fagus

0.24

0.15

− 0.09

2.31

2.30

− 0.01

Fraxinus

2.53

3.75

1.22

1.20

1.62

0.42

Pinus

24.67

20.50

− 4.17

8.47

4.40

− 4.07

Populus

0.14

0.47

0.33

0.09

0.61

0.52

Quercus

47.95

43.37

− 4.58

64.31

47.16

− 17.15***

Tilia

0.15

0.05

− 0.10

0.27

0.17

− 0.1

Tsuga

0.22

0.11

− 0.10

0.79

0.29

− 0.5

Ulmus

0.94

2.41

1.47

1.38

2.80

1.42*

GL_OP (6; 18)

Acer

1.56

2.81

1.26

6.05

15.19

9.14*

Betula

4.26

4.11

− 0.15

1.36

1.48

0.12

Carya

3.71

4.75

1.04

0.43

3.16

2.73

Castanea

x

x

X

x

x

x

Fagus

3.99

2.48

− 1.51

2.63

3.34

0.71

Fraxinus

4.55

3.97

− 0.58

1.64

2.83

1.19

Pinus

5.49

9.93

4.43

11.24

9.32

− 1.92

Populus

0.15

0.54

0.39

5.55

6.60

1.05

Quercus

57.36

48.65

− 8.72

57.49

33.77

− 23.72*

Tilia

1.34

1.58

0.25

4.70

6.24

1.54

Tsuga

0.18

0.04

− 0.15

0.01

0.00

− 0.01

Ulmus

5.61

8.42

2.82

4.35

7.07

2.72

NE_OP (13; 10)

Acer

2.14

2.74

0.60

6.00

26.03

20.03***

Betula

16.08

17.31

1.23

2.46

7.90

5.44**

Carya

2.94

2.43

− 0.51

4.20

2.26

− 1.94

Castanea

3.00

1.35

− 1.65

6.53

0.35

− 6.18***

Fagus

5.49

3.53

− 1.95

4.49

1.60

− 2.89*

Fraxinus

1.23

1.31

0.07

2.30

2.43

0.13

Pinus

19.12

22.38

3.26

16.81

15.62

− 1.19

Populus

0.07

0.08

0.01

1.17

0.62

− 0.55

Quercus

34.67

36.94

2.27

43.84

29.12

− 14.72*

Tilia

0.06

0.00

− 0.06

0.11

0.05

− 0.06

Tsuga

5.70

2.43

− 3.27*

5.52

7.34

1.82

Ulmus

1.01

0.92

− 0.09

1.32

1.09

− 0.23

Average change

  

1.57%

  

3.89%

No. of sign. changes

  

1

  

11

  1. ***P < 0.001
  2. **P < 0.01
  3. *P < 0.05